Bota Posted on 2026-04-16 09:57:00

War does not affect China's economy - It grows more than expected in the first quarter

From Dorian Koça

War does not affect China's economy - It grows more than expected in the

China's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter of the year, despite global turmoil caused by the US-Israeli war with Iran. Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 5% year-on-year, according to official data, compared with economists' forecasts for growth of about 4.8%. The performance comes despite the conflict in the Middle East, which erupted on February 28 and has caused serious disruptions in global energy markets, particularly affecting Asian economies.

Analysts say the full impact of the Iran war is yet to be seen, with GDP forecast for the next quarter likely to be dampened by trade disruptions caused by the conflict. China's latest growth targets and economic guidelines were announced in March as part of its new Five-Year Plan. Beijing pledged to invest heavily in innovation, advanced technologies and boosting domestic consumption.

The ruling Communist Party is trying to reshape the economy, which is facing weak consumption, a shrinking population and a prolonged crisis in the real estate market. Internationally, China is facing energy shortages due to the war in Iran, but also trade tensions, including US President Donald Trump's political tariffs.

Currently, most Chinese products are subject to a 10% tariff in the U.S. However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said tariffs could return to previous levels by early July, following a Supreme Court ruling that struck down most import taxes.

On Tuesday, Beijing released monthly export data for March, which showed a sharp slowdown in growth as the conflict raised inflation and curbed consumer spending. Meanwhile, imports rose by nearly 28% in March, leaving China's trade surplus at just over $50 billion, the lowest level in more than a year. The increase was attributed to a global cost increase due to the war in Iran.

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