Europa Posted on 2025-09-05 10:53:00

Why is Greek economic growth "feeding" inflation? - The reason is high consumption, rising rents and wealthy tourists

From Kristi Ceta

Why is Greek economic growth "feeding" inflation? - The reason is high

The Greek economy's strong performance has been supported by domestic demand and a surge in tourism, especially from high-income visitors. But these factors, along with rising housing rents and high electricity prices in recent months, have fueled inflation in Greece.

As a result, although inflation slowed in August (3.1% according to Eurostat estimates for the harmonized index of consumer prices) compared to July (3.7%), it remained above the 3% level and continues to have a significant difference with the eurozone (2.1%).

Meanwhile, food inflation in Greece was lower in August than the eurozone average (2.4% in Greece versus 3.2% in the eurozone). Competent government sources say that there are serious violations of the code of ethics by traders regarding offers and discounts, and if these are confirmed, fines will be imposed. However, inspections are also being used as a means of putting pressure on the sector to curb price increases.

According to an analysis by the National Bank of Greece, inflationary pressures are expected to decline significantly in 2026. Inflation could slow down more quickly if the current high geopolitical uncertainty eases. The average increase in the consumer price index for 2025 is estimated at 2.8% (3.3% for the harmonized index), while for 2026 at 2.2% (2.5% for the harmonized index).

The strong performance of the Greek economy is contributing to rising inflation because it is fueled by high domestic demand. Meanwhile, there is also the so-called "output gap", which is set to widen by 2.5% in 2025, reaching its highest level since 2007. The output gap occurs when actual Gross Domestic Product is lower than potential, that is, what the economy is theoretically capable of producing. The large increase in this gap indicates that demand has expanded more than total productive capacity.

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