Bota Posted on 2026-03-02 10:15:00

Oil prices rise due to escalating conflict/ Impacts on the global economy with high production costs

From Dorian Koça

Oil prices rise due to escalating conflict/ Impacts on the global economy with

Oil prices rose on Monday morning as investors assessed the economic impact of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, which prompted swift retaliation from Tehran targeting assets in several Middle Eastern countries.

In early trade, the price of a barrel of U.S. crude initially rose about 8%. It later traded 5.9% higher at $71 a barrel. Brent crude rose 6.2% to $77.38 a barrel.

Traders fear that oil supplies from Iran and other countries in the Middle East could slow or stop. Attacks across the region, including on two tankers traveling through the Strait of Hormuz, have limited the ability of countries to export oil to the rest of the world.

"Approximately one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows pass through the Strait of Hormuz. This is not an unknown channel. It is the aorta of the global energy system," said one market analyst.

A prolonged war could result in higher prices for other fuels and gasoline, and negatively impact the global economy, adding to overall production costs.

Likewise, prolonged disruptions to oil flows through the Middle East would have "major consequences for oil and liquefied natural gas. Iran exports roughly 1.6 million barrels of oil per day, mostly to China. Beijing may have to look elsewhere for supplies if Iran's exports are cut, another factor that could push up energy prices.

However, China has sufficient oil reserves of up to 1.5 billion barrels and could offset a decline in Iranian oil by increasing imports from Russia.

In other early trading on Monday, the price of gold - usually seen as a safe haven in times of uncertainty - rose 2.4% to around $5,371 an ounce.

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