Bota Posted on 2026-04-20 09:58:00

The world lost $50 billion in oil from the war - What does this figure mean for the global economy?

From Dorian Koça

The world lost $50 billion in oil from the war - What does this figure mean for

The world has lost over $50 billion worth of unproduced crude oil since the start of the war with Iran nearly 50 days ago, and the consequences of the crisis will be felt for months and even years to come, according to analysts.

Since the crisis began in late February, more than 500 million barrels of crude oil and condensate have been eliminated from the global market, according to Kpler data, the largest energy supply disruption in modern history.

In other words, 500 million barrels of oil lost to the market are equivalent to:

A halt to global aviation demand for 10 weeks; no road travel by any vehicle globally for 11 days; or no barrels of oil for the global economy for five days. Almost a month's worth of oil demand in the United States, or more than a month's worth of oil for all of Europe, according to Reuters estimates.

Approximately six years of fuel consumption for the U.S. military, based on annual use of about 80 million barrels by fiscal year 2021. Enough fuel to run the world's international shipping industry for about four months.

Gulf Arab countries lost about 8 million barrels a day of crude oil production in March, almost equivalent to the combined output of Exxon Mobil and Chevron ( CVX.N ), two of the world's largest oil companies.

Jet fuel exports from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman fell from about 19.6 million barrels in February to just 4.1 million barrels for March and April so far combined, according to Kpler data. The loss of exports would have been enough for about 20,000 round-trip flights between New York's JFK airport and London's Heathrow.

With crude oil prices averaging around $100 per barrel since the start of the conflict, these missing volumes represent approximately $50 billion in lost revenue. The largest crude oil fields in Kuwait and Iraq could take four to five months to return to normal operating levels, prolonging stockpiling through the summer.

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