"AI, a vital opportunity for developing economies"/ World Bank: They will achieve in a decade what could take a century
Artificial intelligence (AI) could enable developing countries to achieve within a decade what would normally take a century if governments act quickly to close the gaps in energy, digital connectivity, skills and the quality of institutions that threaten to leave these countries behind, according to the World Bank Group's World Development Report 2026.
According to the report, jobs in high-income economies are more than three times more likely to be affected by automation through generative artificial intelligence than those in low- and middle-income countries, with 4.5% of existing jobs at risk, compared to 14.2% in high-income economies. At the same time, 16.2% of jobs in developing economies could benefit from significant productivity gains from AI, close to the 18.7% expected in high-income economies.
The greatest promise for developing countries lies not in replacing workers, but in multiplying the contribution they can make.
The report is the first comprehensive assessment of the impact of AI in developing countries, and shows how businesses and governments in these countries have begun to use it. It notes that artificial intelligence is helping people, businesses and governments solve problems, analyze information, improve forecasts and deliver services to a wider range of beneficiaries. These capabilities are particularly valuable in countries where skilled professionals, reliable documentation and the capacity of public institutions are often limited.
Developing economies are currently experiencing their weakest average economic growth in three decades. According to the report, AI could significantly improve this performance before the end of the 2020s, bringing tangible benefits to people. However, this possibility is not guaranteed. The most advanced AI systems are being developed by a limited number of countries and companies, while many developing economies still face shortages in the energy, internet access, data, skills and institutional capacity needed to use AI effectively. Without well-defined actions, artificial intelligence could widen the gap between countries, increase inequality within them, increase the concentration of market power, weaken trust in public institutions and create new risks to security, rights and social cohesion.
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