Germany is aging faster - Fewer births due to economic problems and global uncertainty
Every woman in Germany gives birth to 1.35 children. This is far from the statistical figure of 2.1 needed to maintain the population, according to calculations by the Federal Statistical Office. In 2025, approximately 650,000 children were born in Germany. In 2024, the figure was around 677,000. Around one million people died in each of these two years. On December 31, 2025, a total of approximately 83.5 million people lived in Germany - 100,000 fewer than a year earlier.
According to experts, security is a crucial factor in fulfilling the desire to have children. Numerous crises have prevented people from actually realizing their desires. In addition to the general uncertainty caused by the global situation, there are also concrete problems: a shortage of housing, rising rents and a lack of or unstable childcare. Fears of financial collapse are growing because parents are generally having to reduce their working hours.
The Federal Statistical Office regularly calculates how the population will develop in the coming decades. Politics and business need these figures because the future of the country depends significantly on the number of people and their age.
The latest forecast extends to 2070. A new finding compared to previous calculations is that the population could shrink by around 10%. Immigration will not be able to compensate for this decline.
A smaller population overall would not necessarily be a problem. But Germany is aging. While the number of children and young people is declining, the number of very old people will increase significantly, experts predict.
Currently, the so-called "baby boomers" are retiring. These are people born in the 1960s. After these years, the birth rate fell sharply.
In recent years, the declining birth rate and emigration from Germany have been compensated by immigration. Germany has been growing steadily since 1990. A total of 11 million immigrants have come to Germany. The figures were above average in 2015/2016 and again after 2022 due to the wars in Syria and Ukraine. However, rapid integration into the labor market has rarely been achieved.
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