Bota Posted on 2026-04-06 09:59:00

Oil prices continue to rise - US-Israeli war with Iran is damaging supply

From Dorian Koça

Oil prices continue to rise - US-Israeli war with Iran is damaging supply

Oil prices were little changed in Monday's trade as investors awaited clarification on the status of talks between the U.S. and Iran, although they remained cautious about continued supply losses due to shipping disruptions.

Brent crude futures rose 73 cents to $109.76 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude traded 26 cents lower at $111.28 a barrel.

The United States, Iran and a group of regional mediators are discussing terms for a possible 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war. The Strait of Hormuz, through which oil and its byproducts from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates are transported, remains largely closed due to Iranian attacks on shipping since the war began on February 28.

Analysts say the inability to open the Strait of Hormuz is increasingly becoming a matter of political victory. With supply disruptions in the Middle East, refiners are looking for alternative sources of crude, particularly for physical cargoes in the US and Britain's North Sea.

However, several ships, including an Omani-operated tanker, a French-owned container ship and a Japanese-owned gas carrier, have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, reflecting Iran's policy of allowing passage to ships from countries it considers friendly.

On Sunday, OPEC+, made up of several members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies like Russia, agreed to a modest increase of 206,000 barrels per day for May. However, the decision will exist mostly on paper, as some of the group’s major producers are unable to increase output because of the war. Russian supplies have recently been disrupted by Ukrainian drone attacks on its export terminal in the Baltic Sea.

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