"Global economy to grow by 2.7%" - UN: Impacts, trade tensions, fiscal pressures and growing uncertainties

The global economy is forecast to grow by 2.7 percent in 2026, slightly below the 2.8 percent projected for 2025 and well below the pre-pandemic average of 3.2 percent, according to the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026, published by the United Nations.
The report, compiled by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), showed that the global economy has shown resilience, but trade tensions, fiscal pressures and rising uncertainties are continuously affecting the medium- and long-term growth outlook.
Assistant Secretary-General for Economic Development Navid Hanif said that, supported by strong consumer spending and easing inflation, the global economy withstood the impact of significant U.S. tariff increases in 2025.
Hanif warned that sluggish investment and reduced fiscal space are weighing on economic activity, raising the possibility that the global economy will embark on a consistently slower growth path than in the pre-pandemic era.
According to the report, economic growth in the United States is forecast to be around 2% in 2026, while in the European Union 1.3%. In Asia, growth is expected to remain stronger than in developed economies, although slightly lower than in previous years. According to the report, China's economy is forecast to grow by 4.6%, supported by targeted policy measures.
The report noted that global trade proved resilient in 2025, expanding at a faster-than-expected 3.8 percent growth rate despite high policy uncertainty and rising tariffs. However, trade is projected to slow to 2.2 percent in 2026.
At the same time, investment growth has remained weak in most regions, weighed down by geopolitical tensions and tight fiscal conditions, according to the report.
The report also highlighted that high prices are still eroding people's real incomes, despite the continued decline in global inflation rates. It forecast that headline inflation would slow further to 3.1 percent in 2026, after falling from 4 percent in 2024 to around 3.4 percent in 2025.
The United Nations called for stronger coordination between monetary, fiscal and industrial policies to stabilize prices, while ensuring social welfare and long-term growth.
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