How many MPs can get the votes of the diaspora? By the end of the process, it is projected that around 275 thousand emigrants will apply
According to CEC data, as of the morning of January 28, about 89,900 individuals have applied and about 55 thousand of these requests have been approved with valid ID, or 57.6% of the total requests. The majority of them are men, with a share of 61%. So, we can say that so far the number of applications is sufficient to secure about 7 deputy mandates, while the number of approved requests can yield up to 4 mandates.
According to the data, out of the total requests, about 35.6% of them have been rejected, and 3% are currently under review.
If we analyze the data by applicant age, we see that about 28.2% of the weight is in the 26-35 age group, followed by 36-45 years old with 27.3%.
The greatest interest has been shown by countries with the largest Albanian diaspora, such as Italy, Greece, Germany and the United States of America. However, according to CEC data, there are also other countries such as the United Kingdom, France, Canada, Sweden, Belgium, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Malta, Spain, Finland, Ireland, Norway, Luxembourg, Austria, Denmark, the Czech Republic, Romania, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates.
Let's see how the data is presented in terms of regions. The highest number of requests was registered in Tirana with about 16 thousand, followed by Fier with about 13.5 thousand and Korça with about 10 thousand. So we can say that the number of requests in these regions could produce one mandate for each.
"Scan Intel" has made a prediction, based on the figures we have so far from the CEC. Since January 11, when the diaspora registration process for the elections opened, about 90 thousand emigrants have applied so far. How much can their number reach by March 4, given the pace of registrations so far? Given that in the 17th day the number of applications has reached the above figure, we can say that on average about 5 thousand emigrants have applied per day. If this average were to remain unchanged until March 4, we can say that the total number of requests would be registered at about 275 thousand.
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