How does the collapse of the German government affect the European Union?!
After the collapse of Germany's governing coalition on Wednesday, Chancellor Olaf Scholz said he would hold a confidence vote in January, which could pave the way for new elections as early as March. The opposition CDU party, however, is demanding that Scholz hold the vote as early as next week, which could see new elections at the end of January.
The coalition split over irreconcilable differences over the 2025 household budget, although their last three years in office have been marred by constant cross-party fighting. The differences between the political parties have been magnified by a series of crises that hit Europe and Germany one after the other.
When the "Semafori" coalition was elected in 2021, the consequences of COVID had just begun. Russia had not yet launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and the Nord Stream 2 pipeline was soon to be shut down, driving up energy prices and costs.
The Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and the Liberals (FDP) clashed repeatedly, drawing heavy media criticism in Germany.
The German government is now plunged into complete chaos after US President Trump was elected for a second term, a development that will most likely see Europe have to strengthen its security and defense while the US pursues a more internal.
But is it, however, a matter of time? EU policy expert, Dr. Thu Nguyen, says the dissolution would happen.
"On the ground, the collapse of the coalition was inevitable. The signs were there in the previous days, and the differences and conflicts between the three coalition partners were too great to overcome," she says, adding that the time is coming. bad considering that the EU and Germany need strong leadership.
But Dr. Nguyen hopes the situation will be temporary and will ease once another government comes to power, although she says the EU must ensure "there is a common European response to the US election".
One of the biggest concerns she has is that leaders like Viktor Orbán and Giorgia Meloni could "push a vision of the European Union that is perhaps more pro-Russian, or less green, or even harder on migration, because they will feel empowered by the results of the US election."
The danger here would be that Europe could divide even further: "Without a functioning government in Germany and with a French president and a very weakened French government, there is simply a lack of leadership," she says.
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