Europe prepares for an "extreme" summer - According to forecasts, frequent heat waves and lack of precipitation are expected
Long-term forecasts for summer 2025 show drier and hotter than normal conditions across much of Europe. Frequent heat waves, lack of precipitation and extreme temperatures are expected during July and August.
According to the latest forecasts published on the meteorological portal Severe Weather Europe, Europe is entering the summer of 2025 with significant changes in atmospheric patterns. The data points us towards a drier, warmer and potentially more extreme summer, especially in the second half of the season.
Although long-term forecasts are not entirely reliable, the consensus of several global models gives a relatively clear picture: above-average temperatures, a lack of precipitation, and an increased risk of heat waves are expected.
In the last week of May, according to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, a pronounced area of low pressure is expected to penetrate most of Europe. This change could bring unstable weather, colder temperatures and heavier rainfall, especially in the central and northern parts of the continent.
The start of summer could be relatively stable, with milder temperatures in central and northeastern parts of Europe. While long-term forecasts for July and August show a clear trend of rising temperatures and decreasing precipitation across the continent. One of the world's most reliable meteorological models predicts temperatures significantly above average across central, western and southern Europe. Long periods of drought under the influence of a persistent high pressure are also expected, as are heat waves, which could be stronger and more frequent than in previous years.
The high pressure, known as a “blocking anticyclone,” will act as a shield that pushes cyclones northward, leaving much of the continent under the influence of dry, warm air. These conditions favor the development of drought, reduce river flows, and pose a risk to agriculture and the health of the population.
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