Britain, with the fastest growth in Europe - IMF: Ranks third among G7 countries, after the US and Canada
Britain will have the fastest growth among major European economies this year, according to the International Monetary Fund. The IMF raised its forecast for Britain in 2025 by 0.1 percentage point, to 1.6%, ranking it third among the most advanced G7 economies, behind the United States and Canada.
The IMF's outlook for British gross domestic product growth in 2026 remained at 1.5%, again the third fastest in the G7 and unchanged from the October assessment.
Analysts said the "modest" improvement in growth reflected a net positive impact from Reeves' first budget on October 30, as higher public investment will outweigh the problems created by higher taxes. The Bank of England is also expected to cut rates about once a quarter through 2025.
Reeves said she would "go further" to deliver economic growth. The central bank forecast growth of 1.5% in 2025, partly reflecting the short-term boost to the economy from the temporary increase in public spending, which Reeves announced on October 30.
Last month, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development also raised its forecast for UK economic growth to 1.7% from 1.2% previously. However, Reeves' spending plans are based on the Government Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts of 2% growth for 2025 and 1.8% for 2026.
The British government's 30-year borrowing costs hit their highest level since 1998, due to a global bond sell-off, fueled by concerns about higher inflation and borrowing under Donald Trump's presidency.
Britain's economy stagnated in the third quarter of 2024, as the prospect of huge tax increases in the Labour government's budget hit companies and the Bank of England estimates there was zero growth in the final quarter of the year.
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