Bota Posted on 2024-12-06 13:58:00

Coffee prices at 47-year high - Extreme weather has pushed costs up sharply as demand continues to rise

From Kristi Ceta

Coffee prices at 47-year high - Extreme weather has pushed costs up sharply as

Coffee prices have reached a 47-year high. This comes as a result of Arabica coffee futures recently hitting $3.35 per ounce (453 grams). That's 70% more than at the start of the year and at levels not seen since 1977.

Prices have risen due to fears of the consequences of extreme weather and intense droughts in major coffee-producing countries such as Brazil and Vietnam. The latter has experienced a long drought, followed by torrential rains that have delayed the harvest.

"A challenging growing season in Vietnam, the main producer of Robusta beans, has now shifted to Brazil, where unfavorable weather has raised serious concerns for the 2025 Arabica crop," the experts explain.

Brazil, the main producer of the Arabica variety, was facing its worst drought in decades before the rains finally arrived in October. However, soil moisture remained low, adding to concerns that the crop will not meet expectations and thus pushing up benchmark prices on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

Of the two types of coffee traded on the commodity market, the price of Arabica has increased by almost 70% on an annual basis, while Robusta by more than 60%.

Coffee is one of the most traded products in the world and demand has been growing, driven by high consumption in China. However, only a small number of producing countries meet this requirement. Major producers include Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Indonesia and Ethiopia, all tropical countries highly affected by climate change.

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) recently reduced its 2024/25 coffee production forecast from 69.9 million units (60 kg) to 66.4 million units, which is still 0.2% higher than last season. "This small increase comes as a result of a long period of unfavorable weather conditions in the main producing regions, which led to a decrease in the initial estimates for the season," the report said.

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