"Trade War could increase interest rates" - Shehu: Increased uncertainty will also affect inflationary pressures
The Trade War could lead to an increase in prices and interest rates. This was stated by the Director of the Financial Stability Department of the Bank of Albania, Klodion Shehu, according to whom these increases from the Trade War could affect consumption and investment.
"We have important developments at the international level, due to the geopolitical situation and the trade war, and for this reason it remains to be seen what the outcome of this development that has occurred in international markets will be, but in any case, if it is accompanied by increased uncertainty, there is a high possibility that there will be an increase in interest rates, an increase in inflationary pressures and this will affect consumption and investment in general, and of course our economy could also be affected by these impacts."
During the presentation of the Financial Stability Report, Shehu also highlighted that credit quality has improved in the second half of the year, falling to 4.2%, the lowest level in the last 15 years. Meanwhile, the banking sector's exposure to market risk, mainly exchange rate and interest rates, remains controlled.
"The banking sector has grown, has ensured its activity even further during 2024, even during the period. In terms of Gross Domestic Product, its weight has reached 93.2%. It has grown in terms of the period, but there is a slight decrease compared to a year earlier. In general, the positive contribution to the performance of the banking sector's assets has been made by the increase in lending and investments in securities."
Bank profits improved during 2024, mainly from net interest income in the form of commissions, or income from improving the position in international investments. The Albanian economy grew by 4.1% in annual terms, a growth supported by domestic consumption and private sector investments.
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