Exports rise, industrial production falls - Future uncertain for the German economy
German exports rose in December, while industrial production fell more than expected, reflecting an uncertain outlook for the eurozone's largest economy.
Exports rose by 2.9% compared to the previous month, data from the Federal Statistical Office showed. For the whole of 2024, exports contracted by 1.0% compared to 2023 due to weak demand from China. Imports fell by 2.8% and the foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 241.2 billion euros in 2024.
Increased competition from abroad, high energy costs, still-high interest rates and an uncertain outlook have weighed on Germany's economy, which shrank in 2024 for the second year in a row.
The government forecasts a 0.3% decline in exports this year, which would mark the third consecutive year of decline, due to weakening competition and rising geopolitical and trade tensions.
Industry association DUI said Donald Trump's return to the White House and his tariff threats could shrink the export-oriented economy by almost 0.5% in 2025.
In December, exports to other EU countries increased by 5.9% month-on-month, while those to countries outside the EU fell by 0.5%. The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 20.7 billion euros in December, up from 19.2 billion euros in November 2024.
Meanwhile, German industrial production fell more than expected in the final month of the year, falling 2.4% compared with November, the federal statistics office said. Revised data showed output rose 1.3% in November 2024 compared with October.
Industrial orders rose by 6.9% in December due to a significant increase in large-scale orders such as aircraft, ships, trains and military vehicles, the federal statistics office reported.
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